drpepperTX

Champion Author
Texas
Posts:8,979 Points:756,210 Joined:Apr 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 10, 2013 11:19:02 AM
Correct Cdnlynx.
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CdnLynx

Champion Author
Ontario
Posts:1,028 Points:526,790 Joined:May 2008
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Message Posted: Feb 10, 2013 1:04:09 AM
These articles need clarification; it was always my understanding the the Keystone XL pipeline was going to carry both American and Canadian (shared pipeline) crude to be refined on the Gulf coast. The Canadian portion should then not be considered in any American Import/Export equation and should not come under any US quotas! Now for another problem; Canadian crude oil prices; they are saying that Canadian crude is getting lower prices due to the quality of the crude; Canada has many different qualities of crude oil, not just tar sands! Canadian Crude assay's There is no mention of the prices for these other grades of Canadian crude that are harvested by conventional oil rigs! Higher grades/(assay's) should be able to command a higher price then just Tar Sands bitumen!
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lesndave

Champion Author
Texas
Posts:3,062 Points:705,380 Joined:May 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 11:24:16 PM
Hmmmm
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MAC48

Champion Author
Dallas
Posts:1,551 Points:770,420 Joined:Dec 2006
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 10:16:46 PM
This article keeps stating that Alberta or Canadian oil producers had foregone profits of X, Y or Z billions in 2012 due to the “discount” the Alberta oil production sold for compared to the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) or to the European Brent oil prices for the same period. Logical thought would disagree that the Alberta oil production was sold at a discount since it was sold at a price that willing buyers would agree to pay in a free market and that there were therefore no “foregone” profits at all in the market that existed during 2012.
If Canadian oil production can command a higher price if it was available for sale at US Gulf Coast ports, then that is a different market with different circumstances and is indeed a completely different set of facts as well as being a different question.
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nsdp

Champion Author
San Antonio
Posts:1,117 Points:47,340 Joined:Jun 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 9:25:20 PM
http://us-code.vlex.com/vid/domestic-supplies-materials-equipment-19248030 prohibition on export of American crude. I believe this has been one of your pet laws Dr Pepper when discussing whether or not Keystone would export crude shipped to the gulf coast last July. By statute US refineries are "hired" to refine the crude for Venezuela, Brazil and Mexico among others.
DrPepper you are hoisted on your own petard. 42USC6212.
[Edited by: nsdp at 2/9/2013 9:29:33 PM EST]
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drpepperTX

Champion Author
Texas
Posts:8,979 Points:756,210 Joined:Apr 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 12:09:56 PM
Watch out Cdnlynx, take every word nsdp says as the Gosoel truth, he's an ex attorney after all! ;^)
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CdnLynx

Champion Author
Ontario
Posts:1,028 Points:526,790 Joined:May 2008
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 1:13:16 AM
This is a little off topic of Cdn oil going east;
DrPepper and NDSP - The words Export and Import in these economic times really need clarification. Venezuela export 40% of their crude to America in 2010 (eia pie graph) EIA Analysis of Venezula (pie graph - part way down in article)
Compared to US export of refined gasoline (conventional), 1,004, hundred thousand barrels to Venezuela in 2011; there was only "1" hundred thousand barrels in 2010; suspect due to damaged refining capacity by Venezuela. EIA Analysis - US exports of refined gasoline to Venezuela
When Venezuela exports crude to be refined in America, then the refined product is shipped back to Venezuela, is it really an quote/unquote American refined gasoline, or was it a case America was hired to process the crude of Venezuela due to damaged refining capacity by Venezuela?
[Edited by: CdnLynx at 2/9/2013 1:14:21 AM EST]
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CdnLynx

Champion Author
Ontario
Posts:1,028 Points:526,790 Joined:May 2008
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Message Posted: Feb 9, 2013 12:52:04 AM
TXRanger09 - Like America, Canada is free enterprise and markets and Global oil companies are the movers and shakers. Refineries seem to be a hot potato, nobody wants to build, maintain, and many seems to change hands as companies continue to disinvest their refineries!
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TXRanger09

Champion Author
Dallas
Posts:2,523 Points:895,115 Joined:May 2009
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 11:46:33 PM
And the Canadians aren't building their own refineries because....?
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nsdp

Champion Author
San Antonio
Posts:1,117 Points:47,340 Joined:Jun 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 11:28:57 PM
DrPepper if you really imagine that the US "BUYS" oil from Venezuela you need to think again.
"The United States now sells large volumes of oil to Venezuela, with the country importing 1 million barrels of processed gasoline in December 2011 alone, which, added to the its purchases from the United States of crude oil and oil derivatives totaled 2.21 million of barrels."Source is Fox News of all places. http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2012/08/24/venezuela-imports-oil-despite-having-huge-reserves/
What we do is bring in Venezuelan oil refine it and ship it back to them. We have a net export market of 1million barrels a day. So if you Really think that PDVSA is going to buy product made with Canadian crude instead of their own I will sell you the Huey P Long bridge in Louisiana and throw in a second Huey P Long Bridge for free. The refineries running Venezuelan Orinoco are owned in whole or part by PDVSA. Management would be fired immediately if they took Canadian crude instead of Venezuelan crude. What will happen is there is a 370,000 barrel per day refinery on St Croix 1/2 owned by PDVSA that would be reopened or Aruba(275,000 barrels a day) and we would lay off US refinery workers due to reduced throughput as we would lose the Caribbean market.
From yesterday's San Antonio Express News:
"Favela, the Hart Energy executive, said those advantages keep U.S. refineries, especially those with facilities along the Gulf, in a strong position to export to Mexico and South America.
Announced refinery expansions in Mexico, Brazil and elsewhere in Latin America have been delayed, he said. And although they likely will be completed at some point, the availability of low-cost imported gasoline and diesel from the U.S. makes additional delays easier for those countries to absorb, he said."
And you want to give away US refinery jobs? This is why we started exporting refined product in 2011; lower refining costs. Substitute Canadian oil for Venezuelan oil and we lose the market and the jobs because Venezuela sells gasoline for 8 cents a gallon for political reasons. They can do this because they discount their own oil instead of buying on the world market and can shift refining for the Caribbean market to St Croix or Aruba if we quit taking their oil.
So quit claiming we will displace Venezuelan crude. PDVSA will simply take that refining work away from us. Even if it were free, WCS cannot compete with Orinoco discounted by the Venezuelan government
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RBob

Champion Author
Portland
Posts:3,389 Points:2,351,650 Joined:May 2004
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 9:05:55 PM
TransCanada has said on numerous occasions that the pipeline's purpose is to get oil where it can be exported, not used in either the US or Canada.
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jwkycola

All-Star Author
Columbia
Posts:817 Points:535,400 Joined:Jul 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 8:04:52 PM
Ok.
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bmxstud

Sophomore Author
Chicago
Posts:246 Points:95,945 Joined:Jan 2013
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 5:31:16 PM
bad news
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CocoPaz

Champion Author
Santa Barbara
Posts:2,390 Points:326,320 Joined:Jun 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 3:54:36 PM
How is the current blizzard affecting this?
We are praying for the safe capture of the cop killer in Calif. Am I the only one who smells a movie deal out of this?
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drpepperTX

Champion Author
Texas
Posts:8,979 Points:756,210 Joined:Apr 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 3:04:04 PM
November 2012, the US imported 1,032,000 barrels of oil per day from Venezuela.
Keystone XL could replace the heavy Venezuelan crude at a reduced price.
[Edited by: drpepperTX at 2/8/2013 3:05:34 PM EST]
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nsdp

Champion Author
San Antonio
Posts:1,117 Points:47,340 Joined:Jun 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 3:01:44 PM
Every one disregards economics. Refiners don't care if it is pink, purple or polka dotted. It is how much does it cost in the refinery's tank farm. The increased flow of WTS and Midland to the Gulf coast has a lower price in the refinery terminal than Keystone or the Eastern Canada route with Tankerage will ever hope to have. WTS will always be able to underbid CWS in the Gulf coast and make money where CWS can't.
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humblepie

Champion Author
Toledo
Posts:34,372 Points:2,375,370 Joined:Mar 2006
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:50:25 PM
the world needs new pipelines everywhere
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Zuegma

Champion Author
Nova Scotia
Posts:1,008 Points:261,905 Joined:Aug 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:49:44 PM
This is long overdue. Not only would it bring the oil 'directly' to the more populous Eastern Canada but also to the North East States which we already supply with a good portion of their gas demand (via a long circuitous route).
Who knows, we might get 2 new pipelines: one to Eastern Canada and one North via a more than will North West Territories for export. That would appease all the contrarian 'green' British Columbians (a la California) and would eliminate our bringing oil from Venezuela. They can keep their part time windmills and solar cells.
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gizbo123

Champion Author
Los Angeles
Posts:1,527 Points:1,755,845 Joined:Dec 2005
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:26:55 PM
Canada is a good friend. The dictator can stick it.
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drpepperTX

Champion Author
Texas
Posts:8,979 Points:756,210 Joined:Apr 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:24:19 PM
Like water, Canadian crude will flow downhill. As Girling said in the interview. “Once you get on tidewater, you can get anywhere, and you don’t need a presidential permit to bring oil into the Gulf Coast.”
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darshanzala

Veteran Author
Illinois
Posts:322 Points:104,030 Joined:Jan 2013
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:19:43 PM
Nothing good... Gas prices still be high as many refineries in US are closed.
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Suzzoom

Champion Author
Nevada
Posts:2,388 Points:509,390 Joined:Jan 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:19:39 PM
Plus, you get to keep all the jobs in Canada. Better for your economy.
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listerone

Champion Author
Boston
Posts:3,390 Points:882,315 Joined:Aug 2008
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 2:09:56 PM
Canada shouldn't assume that Osama Obama will approve the pipeline.Americans know that Osama doesn't give a rat's hindquarters about this country's well being while Canadians would have no way to know that.
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ss70

Champion Author
Detroit
Posts:9,688 Points:1,873,500 Joined:Sep 2005
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 1:49:38 PM
good for them ... may be good for east coast
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HorizonChaser

Champion Author
Montgomery
Posts:1,999 Points:458,535 Joined:Dec 2011
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 1:42:00 PM
yawn, eh
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NHLiveFree

Champion Author
New Hampshire
Posts:11,119 Points:1,626,150 Joined:Jun 2008
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 1:40:47 PM
Wishful thinking and pipe dreaming by Girling. TransCanaada's obvious preference and predeliction to send the Alberta caustic crude south to the Gulf Coast ports for shipment to China is a shame. He should be working to assure Canadians have enough fuel first at less than $1.50 or $1.60 per litre.
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whatif81

All-Star Author
San Antonio
Posts:678 Points:207,180 Joined:Jan 2012
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 1:38:51 PM
ok
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Nicoalbum

Champion Author
Ottawa
Posts:6,042 Points:1,193,025 Joined:Jan 2010
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Message Posted: Feb 8, 2013 1:26:46 PM
The situation is aggravating, nothing can be done any time soon.
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